2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina


The 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. North Carolina is one of just five states holding presidential, gubernatorial, and senatorial elections concurrently in 2020. On March 3, 2020, incumbent Thom Tillis and former State Senator Cal Cunningham won their respective parties' primaries.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

;with Mark Walker
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sandy
Smith
Thom
Tillis
Garland
Tucker
Mark
Walker
Undecided
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%2%40%11%17%30%
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%2%18%8%56%16%

;with only Thom Tillis and Mark Walker
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Thom
Tillis
Mark
Walker
Undecided
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%43%34%23%
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%28%64%8%
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%21%69%10%

;with Thom Tillis and Generic Republican
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Thom
Tillis
Generic
Republican
Undecided
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%17%18%52%
May 19–21, 2019502 ± 4.5%7%32%57%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Results

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Nominee

Withdrawn

Predictions

Endorsements

Fundraising

In the first quarter of 2020, Cunningham outraised Tillis for the first time, receiving $4.4 million compared to the $2.1 million Tillis raised. Tillis's prior fundraising, however, left him with the advantage in cash on hand, with $6.5 million in the bank, compared to Cunningham’s $3 million.

Polling

Aggregate polls

Tillis vs. Cunningham

;with Erica D. Smith
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Thom
Tillis
Erica D.
Smith
Undecided
September 29October 7, 2019996 ± 3%33%34%17%
May 31 – June 3, 2019932 ± 3.1%39%46%15%

;with Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Thom
Tillis
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
June 30 – July 1, 20171,102± 3.6%44%48%8%

;with Thom Tillis and Generic Opponent
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Thom
Tillis
Generic
Opponent
OtherUndecided
July 29–31, 2019600 ± 4.0%26%52%3%19%

;with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Other/Undecided
May 26–28, 2020500 ± 4.38%43%40%17%
April 5–7, 2020500 ± 4.4%41%42%17%
Released March 17, 202044%41%15%
Released October 17, 201940%41%20%
Released September 11, 201937%42%21%
Released August 4, 201939%37%24%
July 29–31, 2019600 ± 4.0%44%44%11%
Released June 10, 201938%38%24%
Released May 5, 201939%39%22%
Released March 17, 201937%40%22%
Released February 13, 201937%38%25%

Results