2003 New South Wales state election


Elections to the 53rd Parliament of New South Wales were held on Saturday 22 March 2003. All seats in the Legislative Assembly and half the seats in the Legislative Council were up for election. The Labor Party led by Bob Carr won a third four-year term against the Liberal-National Coalition led by John Brogden.

Background

In the 18 months following the 1999 election politics was swamped by the Olympics. The only problem in this period was an administrative disaster in organising the ballot to purchase tickets. Games organisers were trying to hold back tickets originally promised at a lower price to the public in an attempt to deal with the financial viability of the Olympics. Chikarovski remained as Liberal leader after the 1999 election, partly because no-one wanted the job before the Olympics, but also because there was no clear alternative. A challenge finally occurred in March 2002, and Pittwater MP John Brogden, after six years in Parliament, was elected to the leadership on his 33rd birthday.
After the Olympics, the Government faced two major problems. The first was the police. The Government had appointed an
outsider, Englishman Peter Ryan, as new Commissioner to implement the reforms proposed by the Police Royal Commission. By 2001, police issues had moved on from corruption and returned to law and order, with the Government in particular under pressure over so-called "ethnic" crime in Western Sydney. Both Police Minister Paul Whelan and Commissioner Ryan were pushed into retiring, and new Minister Michael Costa was brought in to control the issue in the run-up to the 2003 election.
The second problem was the rail system. In a bid to create efficiencies, the Government had split the rail system into distinct organisations covering track, rolling stock, freight and passengers. Following a spate of accidents, including fatalities at Springwood in December 1999, a commission of inquiry was appointed. Its findings were that the accidents stemmed from confusion in the new structure of the rail system, and also a failure by the railway organisation to view safety as an operational goal. Another accident at Waterfall a month before the official start of the election campaign looked set to make rail safety a critical election issue, but the cause turned out to be the demise of the driver at the controls. Events after the election were to reveal major problems in the rail system, but they were not to become major issues in the campaign.
The 2003 election was almost a repeat of the 1999 result. The Liberal Party regained South Coast but lost the outer Sydney seat of Camden. The National Party regained Clarence with the retirement of Harry Woods, but lost Monaro to the Labor Party. Worse for the National Party, both Tamworth and Port Macquarie were lost to Independents: Tamworth after having been regained at a 2001 by-election, Port Macquarie after the decision of the National MP to leave the Party.
On the surface the result looked a repeat of 1999, but on closer analysis, Labor had increased its hold on Government. Despite a statewide two-party swing of just 0.2% to Labor, the party increased its margins in key seats. The seats clustered around the bottom of the electoral pendulum ahead of the 1999 election were now all safe seats for the Government. With another redistribution due before the next election in 2007 election, Labor appeared to have entrenched itself in power.
The election was the second to be fought by Carr as the incumbent Premier and became the first incumbent Premier to fight back to back elections since Neville Wran. To date Carr is also the last Premier to fight a second consecutive election.
In his concession speech Brogden promised that he will be back for the 2007 election but it was a promise that was not kept as he resigned as Liberal leader and then from Parliament in 2005.

Electoral system

The New South Wales Legislative Assembly consists of 93 members, elected in single-member electorates by optional preferential voting.
The New South Wales Legislative Council consists of 42 members, elected at large by optional preferential single transferable voting, with 21 elected at each election to serve two Legislative Assembly terms.
Terms are fixed at four years, with elections being held in late March.

Results

Overview

In the New South Wales Legislative Assembly:
Elections were held for half the seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council:
§ Tamworth was won by the Nationals in a 2001 by-election and the shown swing is based on it. At the 1999 election it was won by independent Tony Windsor.
  • Members' names shown in italics did not recontest their seats.

    Post-election pendulum

LABOR SEATS ---
Marginal---
MonaroSteve WhanALP3.3%
TweedNeville NewellALP3.8%
CamdenGeoff CorriganALP5.4%
Fairly safe---
PenrithKaryn PaluzzanoALP6.1%
Murray-DarlingPeter BlackALP6.7%
Port JacksonSandra NoriALP7.3% v GRN
DrummoyneAngela D'AmoreALP8.7%
HeathcotePaul McLeayALP8.7%
MaitlandJohn PriceALP8.9%
MirandaBarry CollierALP9.1%
Port StephensJohn BartlettALP9.3%
MenaiAlison MegarrityALP9.5%
The EntranceGrant McBrideALP9.6%
PeatsMarie AndrewsALP9.7%
Safe---
MarrickvilleAndrew RefshaugeALP10.7% v GRN
WyongPaul CrittendenALP11.1%
CoogeePaul PearceALP12.6%
ParramattaTanya GadielALP13.4%
Georges RiverKevin GreeneALP13.7%
BathurstGerard MartinALP14.1%
Lake MacquarieJeff HunterALP14.5%
CharlestownMatthew MorrisALP14.7%
Blue MountainsBob DebusALP14.8%
NewcastleBryce GaudryALP14.8%
WentworthvillePam AllanALP14.8%
LondonderryAllan ShearanALP15.3% v IND
CessnockKerry HickeyALP15.5%
RydeJohn WatkinsALP15.5%
StrathfieldVirginia JudgeALP15.8%
RockdaleFrank SartorALP15.9%
RiverstoneJohn AquilinaALP16.1%
KiamaMatt BrownALP16.9%
WollongongNoreen HayALP17.3% v IND
MulgoaDiane BeamerALP17.9%
East HillsAlan AshtonALP18.5%
KogarahCherie BurtonALP19.2%
GranvilleKim YeadonALP19.5%
CampbelltownGraham WestALP19.6%
WallsendJohn MillsALP20.7%
Macquarie FieldsCraig KnowlesALP22.5%
KeiraDavid CampbellALP22.5% v GRN
MaroubraBob CarrALP23.5%
HeffronKristina KeneallyALP23.9%
BlacktownPaul GibsonALP24.5%
IllawarraMarianne SalibaALP24.8%
Mount DruittRichard AmeryALP26.8%
FairfieldJoe TripodiALP27.0%
AuburnBarbara PerryALP27.3%
LakembaMorris IemmaALP27.4%
CanterburyLinda BurneyALP27.6%
SmithfieldCarl ScullyALP27.8%
BankstownTony StewartALP28.6%
LiverpoolPaul LynchALP30.7%
CabramattaReba MeagherALP31.7%