1979 XB


1979 XB is a lost asteroid, classified as near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid of the Apollo group. It has a short observation arc of 3.9 days and is roughly estimated to be in diameter. The unnumbered minor planet has a poorly constrained orbit and has not been observed in 40 years. It has been listed on the Sentry Risk Table since the list started in 2002.
1979 XB was first observed on 11 December 1979 by astronomers at the Siding Spring Observatory, Australia, when the asteroid was estimated to be from Earth and had a solar elongation of 127°. The object has never been confirmed by a second observatory. The uncertainty region for this asteroid is now hundreds of millions of kilometers long.

Orbit-fit

With a short 4-day observation arc, the trajectory is poorly constrained and the uncertainties fit numerous different orbits. The perihelion point is better known than the aphelion point. Due to the uncertainty, the orbital period ranges from 2.4 to 4.2 years.
SourceAphelionOrbital periodEarth MOID
MPC
NEODyS

2024

Around mid-December 2024 the asteroid has about a 0.05% chance of making an Earth approach within 0.1 AU. But it will not pass any closer than. The nominal JPL Horizons December 2024 Earth distance is with an uncertainty of more than a billion km.

2056 virtual impactor

With a short 4 day observation arc, the Sentry Risk Table shows an estimated 1 in 6 million chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 12 December 2056. The nominal JPL Horizons 12 December 2056 Earth distance is with a 3-sigma uncertainty of ±14 billion km. NEODyS lists the nominal 12 December 2056 Earth distance as.
DateImpact
probability
JPL Horizons
nominal geocentric
distance
NEODyS
nominal geocentric
distance
uncertainty
region
2056-12-126 million±14 billion km
2113-12-142 million±6 billion km